Archive for July, 2012

July 31, 2012

Stamp Duties – Who pays what, when, and how much?

From my daily dealings with buyers and sellers of Singapore property, along with enquiries from blog readers, there are a number of queries that constantly pop up on my radar (besides the perennial favorite, “How’s the market?”)

One area that has a lot of people confused is the different stamp duties introduced via the various cooling measures. Apologies to readers who are familiar with the stamp duty matrix and consider this stale, but I reckon the fact that I’ve encountered even senior conveyancing lawyers who aren’t too clear on their stamp duty facts suggests that this is an area that requires clarification.

July 23, 2012

How to get the best deals on property loans…

Given the low interest environment, I imagine that most people will be looking to take out mortgage loans when buying a property, or to re-finance their existing loans. Now, how do you get the best deals? Most people will say that you have to shop around, and that’s a big part of the story, but what do you look out for after you’ve done that? There are still a lot of hidden costs involved if you know where to look in the fine print. In this post, I shall attempt to guide you through the loan-hunting process so you can get the best deal.

Step 1: Where to look?

The most obvious and easiest way may be to go to websites like Loan Guru or Smartloans that has already consolidated quotes from many banks. There, you can compare standard rates from each bank to find the best rate. However, you will not find the best deal there. If you spend some time on the phone, better deals can be found at the individual banks from time to time as they come out with loan promotions. However, these are still mass market rates. The best deals come from individual banks with whom you have a priority or private banking relationship. If you don’t have one, your friendly estate agent will have some recommendations as she would have worked with many bankers who may be able to work something out for you.

July 19, 2012

Is the Singapore Property Market in Trouble? Part 3

Since the best trilogies come in threes, I guess this will be the final one of the series. In part 1, I talked about the risk of additional cooling measures. In part 2, I discussed the risk of over-leverage and increase in interest rates. In this part I shall talk about the risk of over-supply in the market.

Risk 4: Risk of over-supply

Another reason why the property market may come down is over-supply of properties, or to be more specific, more supply of properties than demand. Economics 101 tells us that price is determined by the interaction of demand and supply. When there is more demand than supply, prices go up. Conversely, if supply exceeds demand, prices come down. In order to determine the risk of over-supply, we need to split it up into the different categories of housing.

July 14, 2012

Is the Singapore Property Market in Trouble? Part 2

Just to recap, in my previous post, I discussed the risk of additional cooling measures for the property market, which I think is low due to the demography of the people who are actually pushing up the housing prices here. In this post, I shall discuss leverage and interest rate risk.

Risk 2: Risk of US-style housing defaults due to falling prices

A primary cause of the housing crisis in the US is the high leverage that homeowners there have on their property. Leverage means the use of loans to finance purchases of assets. Leverage is good in the sense that you’re using OPM (Other People’s Money) to buy your property, which can significantly increase your return on capital. It also allows you to borrow money cheaply against your home’s equity. However, using loans requires you to pledge your property to the bank as collateral, and in the event that market value falls way below the loan amount, then the bank has the right to ask you to pay down a portion of your outstanding loan. If you were not able to comply, the bank has the right to take over your property and sell it in the market to recover their loan. Although you will get any excess after the bank and CPF board are paid, the amount is typically very little, if any, since this usually happens at the worst time when the market is down. Buyers of such properties are looking to buy at fire-sale prices, and the bank’s main concern is to cover their loan, rather than to try to get a good price for the property, so transaction prices tend to be low.

July 11, 2012

Psf, psf – are we too obsessed with numbers?

This might seem to be a drastically different stance from my last post on the dangers of being overly emotional when it comes to property investment, however, I come into contact with a broad spectrum of investors, buyers, sellers, and tenants in my line of work. My purpose is to provide a balanced commentary, and to help moderate potentially self-harming behaviours I come across.

As I’ve mentioned in earlier posts, real estate, particularly residential property, is a very unique asset class. Even for brand new units direct from developers, units with exactly the same floor plan will have a slightly different view by virtue of the fact that 2 units cannot possibly occupy the exact same airspace, thus the views, elevation and orientation will be at least marginally if not drastically different.

I believe this is also why real estate contracts are one of the areas where specific performance can be ordered by the courts. I suppose it is recognised that sometimes monetary compensation simply cannot replace the enjoyment one obtains from owning a particular property.

If even homes with exactly the same layout can have nuances of difference, then is not rather artificial to compare homes on a per square foot basis? I can safely vouch by the sheer number of times I have people asking me, “what’s the floor size for this place, ah?”, that the average human being is unable to accurately gauge the floor area of a home. So why do we dwell so much upon this magic ratio of price to floor area?

I suppose it is difficult to quantify how pleasant or livable a space is in a strictly scientific manner. The pleasure one can potentially derive from a well-designed, ideally-located home is in fact priceless! But a good way to gauge the “homeliness” value of a property is how much a potential tenant is willing to pay to live in it. The irony is that transient tenants looking to stay in a home for a 2-3 year time line are, I think, a lot more focused on the value of a good home, whereas home buyers tend to get overly distracted by comparisons of numbers and ratios that may have little effect on the ultimate enjoyment of their homes.

July 10, 2012

Is the Singapore Property Market in Trouble? Part 1

Recently, I’ve been hearing a lot of speculation in the newspapers, blogs and forums about new cooling measures for the property market and how domestic lending has gone through the roof and may precipitate in property crash etc. The common thread in all the rumours and commentaries is that the property sector is not going to be good. I’d like to list out some of these topics to just discuss how bad the situation is, or if the speculation is unfounded.

It looks like it’s going to be quite a long discussion, so I’m going to break it up into a few posts to make it more readable.

Risk 1: More cooling measures

With housing prices continuing to rise, are we going to need new property market cooling measures? Before I try to answer that, here is a quick overview of the 5 rounds of property market cooling measures that the government has already implemented over the last few years:

July 7, 2012

Are you an emotional property investor?

Ok, it’s confession time! While I regularly profess my love for real estate investment, I have, to-date, never truly fallen head-over-heels in love with any property.

That is to say, I’ve never seen a property that makes me think, “Darn, I must have this! Whatever the price!” Neither have I owned a property that I’ve not been willing to give up for the right price.

When I first started hunting for property, I made the mistake of thinking that I had to fall in love before making the biggest ticket purchase of my life. Thus each viewing went by unfulfilled, and I wasted a precious 2 years without making any investments.

Fortunately for me, my work as a bank relationship manager and subsequently as a real estate lawyer, gave me a lot of exposure to the inner workings of some very wise and brilliant property investors.

I soon discovered that the properties that give the best returns aren’t necessarily the most appealing of homes. The first property I ever owned was a small two-bedroom apartment in district 10. I recall very little about the apartment itself, except that the master bedroom was dark and smelt of unwashed laundry (busy, bachelor tenant!) What I do remember rather more fondly was that it gave us instant 6.7% p.a. rental yield on our initial purchase price, and double-digit annual capital gains for the 3 years that we held it for.

July 6, 2012

The Straits Times: S’pore property market shows resilience

Have a read of the article out today in The Straits Times.

In a nutshell, for someone interested in property as an investment, there are 3 main takeaways:

1. Rentals are seasonal. If you’re planning to rent your property out to expats, April and May (or more accurately the couple of months after that) are crucial months;

2. The rental market is still firm for now. However, there seems to be somewhat of a temporary bootstrapping effect, with rents supporting prices and prices supporting rents; and perhaps most importantly

3. Expat packages are waning. Increasingly, expats are now being localised with little or no housing allowances.

You’ll have to draw your own conclusions about what this means for you, but this information certainly helps to steer my investment decisions…

July 3, 2012

Determining whether to sell your investment property…

I used to like the idea of holding on to properties forever to collect rent, but my view has changed recently. The main reason is that while collecting rent every month and seeing my bank account inflate is lots of fun, it’s also taxable at my income tax rate. In contrast, capital gains in this country is tax-free, and who’s to say seeing a lump sum in the bank is any less fun?

Some may protest that they may not be able to find a replacement investment to put their money in, and with inflation numbers running up and interest rates so low, they’re losing money by the day. I would argue that there are ALWAYS under-valued properties for sale, but you have to find them and they must fit your profile. Some are hard to find, while others may not fit your criteria or budget. You just have to do your homework, or get a good agent to do it for you.

A lot of people spend a lot of time researching when they are buying an investment property, but neglect to think as hard about selling it. Perhaps they wanted to keep it forever for rental income like I did, or they think that they would just think about it when the time comes. However, when the time comes, owners tend to over-estimate the value of their property, which leads to the situation where they are always asking for above-market prices which don’t get done. Owners are left holding on to property which may be growing in value but the value is not easily realisable.

Moving targets are hard to hit!

Therefore, I argue that there is a need to think about your exit strategy. As an example, when I am deciding whether to sell a property, I make my judgement based on certain criteria:

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